Maharashtra State Board · HSC Commerce · Class 11 (Std XI)
Class 11 Maths and Statistics Part 2 Chapter 7: Probability
Short notes, key concepts, quick revision and practice MCQs with answers
Probability measures the chance of an event on a scale from 0 to 1. The chapter defines random experiments, sample spaces and types of events, the algebra of events, the classical definition of probability, the addition theorem, conditional probability, the multiplication theorem, independent events and odds.
Key concepts: Probability
- Random experiment and sample space
- An action whose possible results are known in advance but the actual result cannot be predicted. The set of all outcomes is the sample space S; each element is a sample point.
- Events
- An event is a subset of S. Elementary (single outcome), sure event (S itself), impossible event (∅) and the complementary event A′ (outcomes not in A).
- Algebra of events
- A ∪ B: at least one of A, B occurs. A ∩ B: both occur. Mutually exclusive: A ∩ B = ∅. Exhaustive: A ∪ B = S.
- Classical probability
- For equally likely outcomes, P(A) = n(A)/n(S). 0 ≤ P(A) ≤ 1, P(S) = 1, P(∅) = 0 and P(A′) = 1 − P(A).
- Addition theorem
- P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B). For mutually exclusive events, P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B).
- Conditional probability
- P(A/B) = P(A ∩ B)/P(B), P(B) ≠ 0: the probability of A given that B has occurred.
- Multiplication theorem and independence
- P(A ∩ B) = P(A) P(B/A) = P(B) P(A/B). A and B are independent if P(A ∩ B) = P(A) P(B).
- Odds
- Odds in favour of A = n(A) : n(A′). If odds in favour are a : b, then P(A) = a/(a + b).
Quick revision: important points
- Two coins: n(S) = 4; two dice: n(S) = 36; a pack of cards has 52 cards, 4 suits of 13.
- P(at least one) = 1 − P(none).
- For independent events, P(A/B) = P(A).
- Odds against A = n(A′) : n(A).
- Sum of probabilities of all elementary events is 1.
Practice MCQs with answers
The probability of getting a head when a fair coin is tossed is:
- 0
- 1/4
- 1/2
- 1
Show answer
Answer: C. 1/2
One favourable outcome out of two.The probability of getting a number greater than 4 on a die is:
- 1/6
- 1/3
- 1/2
- 2/3
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Answer: B. 1/3
5 and 6: 2/6 = 1/3.When two coins are tossed, the number of sample points is:
- 2
- 3
- 4
- 8
Show answer
Answer: C. 4
HH, HT, TH, TT.The probability of an impossible event is:
- 0
- 1
- 1/2
- −1
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Answer: A. 0
It contains no sample point.If P(A) = 0.3, then P(A′) is:
- 0.3
- 0.7
- 1.3
- 0.09
Show answer
Answer: B. 0.7
1 − 0.3 = 0.7.
All Class 11 Maths and Statistics chapters
- Part 1 Chapter 1: Sets and Relations
- Part 1 Chapter 2: Functions
- Part 1 Chapter 3: Complex Numbers
- Part 1 Chapter 4: Sequences and Series
- Part 1 Chapter 5: Locus and Straight Line
- Part 1 Chapter 6: Determinants
- Part 1 Chapter 7: Limits
- Part 1 Chapter 8: Continuity
- Part 1 Chapter 9: Differentiation
- Part 2 Chapter 1: Partition Values
- Part 2 Chapter 2: Measures of Dispersion
- Part 2 Chapter 3: Skewness
- Part 2 Chapter 4: Bivariate Frequency Distribution
- Part 2 Chapter 5: Correlation
- Part 2 Chapter 6: Permutations and Combinations
- Part 2 Chapter 7: Probability
- Part 2 Chapter 8: Linear Inequations
- Part 2 Chapter 9: Commercial Mathematics